2026 Oscar Best Casting Predictions

Tracking my evolving predictions for Casting throughout Awards Season.
👑 Winner Locked 🔒 Nomination Locked 🆕 New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 Out of Contention (RIP)
Academy Awards Oscars statuette on transparent background

Casting

*Updated 01.21.2025

In the Spotlight

1

Sinners (Warner Bros.)

▲ 1 🔒

2

One Battle After Another  (Warner Bros.)

▼ 1🔒

3

Sentimental Value (NEON)

— 🔒

4

Hamnet (Focus Features)

5

Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)

On the Fringe

6

Sirât (NEON)

▲ 4

7

Marty Supreme (A24)

▼ 1

In the Mix

8

Frankenstein (Netflix)

▼ 1

9

Weapons (Warner Bros.)

▼ 1

10

The Secret Agent (NEON)

▼ 1

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
Jay Kelly (Netflix)

🪦

Shortlist scorecard showing 7 out of 10 correct predictions and 70 percent accuracy for Casting

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Casting contenders for the 2026 Oscars (Jan 2026)

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Casting contenders for the 2026 Oscars.