2026 Oscar Best Supporting Actor Predictions

Tracking my evolving predictions for Supporting Actor throughout Awards Season.
Academy Awards Oscars statuette on transparent background

Supporting Actor

*Updated 01.16.2025

In the Spotlight

1

Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)

— 🔒

2

Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)

▲ 1 🔒

3

Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another)

▼ 1 🔒

4

Paul Mescal (Hamnet)

▲ 1

5

Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)

▼ 1

On the Fringe

6

Miles Caton (Sinners)

▲ 2

7

Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly)

▼ 1

In the Mix

8

Delroy Lindo (Jay Kelly)

▼ 1

9

William H. Macy (Train Dreams)

—

10

Josh O’Connor (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)

—

Long Shots

11

Jeremy Strong (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere)

—

12

Akira Emoto (Rental Family)

—

13

Mark Hamill (The Life of Chuck)

—

14

Andrew Garfield (After the Hunt)

—

15

Andrew Scott (Blue Moon)

—

Gold OSCARS logo with Oscar logo A

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Supporting Actor contenders for the 2026 Oscars (Jan. 2026)

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Supporting Actor contenders for the 2026 Oscars.