2026 Oscar Best Lead Actress Predictions
Tracking my evolving predictions for Lead Actress throughout Awards Season.

Lead Actress
*Updated 01.16.2025
|
In the Spotlight |
||
|
1 |
Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) |
— 👑 |
|
2 |
Rose Bryne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You) |
— 🔒 |
|
3 |
Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) |
▲ 1 🔒 |
|
4 |
Emma Stone (Bugonia) |
▼ 1 |
|
5 |
Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) |
— |
|
On the Fringe |
||
|
6 |
Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good) |
— |
|
7 |
Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value) |
— |
|
In the Mix |
||
|
8 |
Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee) |
— |
|
9 |
Eva Victor (Sorry, Baby) |
▲ 3 |
|
10 |
Jennifer Lawrence (Die My Love) |
▼ 1 |
|
Long Shots |
||
|
11 |
Tessa Thompson (Hedda) |
▼ 1 |
|
12 |
Julia Roberts (After the Hunt) |
▼ 1 |
|
13 |
Laura Dern (Is This Thing On? |
— |
|
14 |
June Squibb (Eleanor the Great) |
— |
|
15 |
Sydney Sweeney (Christy) |
— |

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.


