2026 Oscar Live Action Short Film Predictions

Tracking my evolving predictions for Live Action Short throughout Awards Season.
👑 Winner Locked 🔒 Nomination Locked 🆕 New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 Out of Contention (RIP)
Academy Awards Oscars statuette on transparent background

Live Action Short

*Updated 01.21.2025

In the Spotlight

1

The Pearl Comb

▲ 12 🔒

2

The Singers

▲ 7

3

Two People Exchanging Saliva

▲ 5

4

Rock, Paper, Scissors

▲ 3

5

Ado

▼ 4 🔒

On the Fringe

6

The Boy with the White Skin

▼ 3

7

Pantyhose

▲ 8

In the Mix

8

Jane Austen’s Period Drama

▲ 2

9

A Friend of Dorothy

▼ 5

10

Amarela

▼ 5

Long Shots

11

Beyond Silence

▼ 9

12

Butcher’s Skin

▼ 6

13

Extremist

▼ 2

14

Dad’s Not Home

▼ 2

15

Butterfly on a Wheel

▼ 2

Shortlist scorecard showing 4 out of 15 correct predictions and 27 percent accuracy for Live Action Short

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Live Action Short Film contenders for the 2026 Oscars (Jan 2026)

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Live Action Short Film contenders for the 2026 Oscars.