2026 Oscar Best Supporting Actor Predictions
Tracking my evolving predictions for Supporting Actor throughout Awards Season.

Supporting Actor
*Updated 01.16.2025
|
In the Spotlight |
||
|
1 |
Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value) |
— 🔒 |
|
2 |
Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) |
▲ 1 🔒 |
|
3 |
Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another) |
▼ 1 🔒 |
|
4 |
Paul Mescal (Hamnet) |
▲ 1 |
|
5 |
Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) |
▼ 1 |
|
On the Fringe |
||
|
6 |
Miles Caton (Sinners) |
▲ 2 |
|
7 |
Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly) |
▼ 1 |
|
In the Mix |
||
|
8 |
Delroy Lindo (Jay Kelly) |
▼ 1 |
|
9 |
William H. Macy (Train Dreams) |
— |
|
10 |
Josh O’Connor (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery) |
— |
|
Long Shots |
||
|
11 |
Jeremy Strong (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) |
— |
|
12 |
Akira Emoto (Rental Family) |
— |
|
13 |
Mark Hamill (The Life of Chuck) |
— |
|
14 |
Andrew Garfield (After the Hunt) |
— |
|
15 |
Andrew Scott (Blue Moon) |
— |

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.


