2026 Oscar Best Supporting Actress Predictions

Tracking my evolving predictions for Supporting Actress throughout Awards Season.
👑 Winner Locked 🔒 Nomination Locked 🆕 New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 Out of Contention (RIP)
Academy Awards Oscars statuette on transparent background

Supporting Actress

*Updated 01.16.2025

In the Spotlight

1

Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)

— 🔒

2

Amy Madigan (Weapons)

— 🔒

3

Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)

— 🔒

4

Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners)

▲ 2

5

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value)

▲ 2

On the Fringe

6

Odessa A’zion (Marty Supreme)

🆕

7

Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)

▼ 3

In the Mix

8

Nina Hoss (Hedda)

▲ 3

9

Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine)

10

Glenn Close (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)

▼ 2

Long Shots

11

Regina Hall (One Battle After Another)

▼ 1

12

Gwenyth Paltrow (Marty Supreme)

▼ 7

13

Sissy Spacek (Die My Love)

▼ 1

14

Emily Watson (Hamnet)

▼ 1

15

Laura Dern (Jay Kelly)

🆕

Halle Steinfeld (Sinners)

🪦

Ayo Edebiri (After the Hunt)

🪦

Gold OSCARS logo with Oscar logo A

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Supporting Actress contenders for the 2026 Oscars.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Supporting Actress contenders for the 2026 Oscars.