2026 Oscar Predictions
Tracking the 2026 Academy Awards race with ranked predictions in every category.
98th Academy Awards
Shortlist: December 16, 2025 • Nominations: January 22, 2026
Ceremony: March 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM EST
Season Stage: Winner Predictions
Updated on Mar. 8, 2026 • Post-ACTOR Awards (Previously SAG)
🧮 Nomination Prediction Scorecard
94 / 125 (75%)
Perfect Prediction Categories: Actor in a Supporting Role and Sound
Picture | Director | Lead Actor | Lead Actress | Supporting Actor | Supporting Actress | Adapted Screenplay | Original Screenplay | Animated Feature | Animated Short | Casting | Cinematography | Costume Design | Documentary Feature | Documentary Short | Film Editing | International Feature | Live Action Short | Makeup & Hairstyling | Production Design | Score | Song | Sound | Visual Effects
Fe
Best Picture
|
1 |
One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Sinners (Warner Bros.) |
— |
|
3 |
Hamnet (Focus Features) |
— |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (A24) |
— |
|
5 |
Sentimental Value (NEON) |
— |
|
6 |
Frankenstein (Netflix) |
— |
|
7 |
Bugonia (Focus Features) |
— |
|
8 |
Train Dreams (Netflix) |
— |
|
9 |
The Secret Agent (NEON) |
— |
|
10 |
F1: The Movie (Apple Films | Warner Bros.) |
▲ 2 |
Full Best Picture predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
9 / 10
─────
Missed: F1: The Movie → Predicted: Wicked: For Good
Best Director
|
1 |
One Battle After Another – Paul Thomas Anderson |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Sinners – Ryan Coogler |
— |
|
3 |
Hamnet – Chloé Zhao |
— |
|
4 |
Sentimental Value – Joachim Trier |
— |
|
5 |
Marty Supreme – Josh Safdie |
— |
Full Best Director predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme) → Predicted: Guillermo del Toro (Frankenstein)
Lead Actor
|
1 |
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) |
▲ 1 |
|
2 |
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme) |
▼ 1 |
|
3 |
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) |
— |
|
4 |
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) |
— |
|
5 |
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) |
— |
Full Best Lead Actor predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) → Predicted: Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
Lead Actress
|
1 |
Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Rose Bryne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You) |
— |
|
3 |
Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) |
▲ 1 |
|
4 |
Emma Stone (Bugonia) |
▼ 1 |
|
5 |
Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value) |
— |
Full Best Lead Actress predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value) → Predicted: Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another)
Supporting Actor
|
1 |
Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value) |
— |
|
2 |
Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) |
▲ 3 |
|
3 |
Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) |
▼ 1 |
|
4 |
Delroy Lindo (Sinners) |
— |
|
5 |
Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another) |
▼ 2 |
Full Best Supporting Actor predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
5 / 5
─────
Called It
Supporting Actress
|
1 |
Amy Madigan (Weapons) |
— |
|
2 |
Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners) |
▲ 1 |
|
3 |
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) |
▼ 1 |
|
4 |
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) |
— |
|
5 |
Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) |
— |
Full Best Supporting Actress predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) → Predicted: #1 – Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)
Adapted Screenplay
|
1 |
One Battle After Another (Paul Thomas Anderson) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Hamnet (Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell) |
— |
|
3 |
Train Dreams (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar) |
— |
|
4 |
Frankenstein (Guillermo del Toro) |
— |
|
5 |
Bugonia (Will Tracey) |
— |
Full Best Adapted Screenplay predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Bugonia → Predicted: No Other Choice
Original Screenplay
|
1 |
Sinners (Ryan Coogler) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Sentimental Value (Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt) |
— |
|
3 |
It Was Just an Accident (Jafar Panahi) |
— |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (Josh Safdie) |
— |
|
5 |
Blue Moon (Robert Kaplow) |
— |
Full Best Original Screenplay predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Blue Moon → Predicted: Sorry, Baby
International Feature
|
1 |
Sentimental Value – Norway (NEON) |
— |
|
2 |
The Secret Agent – Brazil (NEON) |
— |
|
3 |
It Was Just an Accident – France (NEON) |
— |
|
4 |
The Voice of Hind Rajab – Tunisia (Watermelon Pictures) |
▲ 1 |
|
5 |
Sirāt – Spain (NEON) |
▼ 1 |
Full Best International Feature predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: The Voice of Hind Rajab → Predicted: No Other Choice
Animated Feature
|
1 |
KPop Demon Hunters (Netflix) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Zootopia 2 (Walt Disney Pictures) |
— |
|
3 |
Elio (Disney/Pixar) |
— |
|
4 |
Arco (NEON) |
— |
|
5 |
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (GKIDS) |
— |
Full Best Animated Feature predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Little Amélie or the Character of Rain → Predicted: Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle
Animated Short
|
1 |
Butterfly (Papillon) |
— |
|
2 |
Retirement Plan |
— |
|
3 |
Forevergreen |
— |
|
4 |
The Girl Who Cried Pearls |
— |
|
5 |
The Three Sisters |
— |
Full Best Animated Short predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: The Girl Who Cried Pearls and The Three Sisters → Predicted: Snow Bear and Hurikán
Casting
|
1 |
Sinners (Francine Maisler) |
— |
|
2 |
One Battle After Another (Cassandra Kulukundis) |
— |
|
3 |
Hamnet (Nina Gold) |
— |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (Jennifer Venditti) |
— |
|
5 |
The Secret Agent (Gabriel Domingues) |
— |
Full Best Casting predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Marty Supreme and The Secret Agent → Predicted: Sentimental Value and Wicked: For Good
Cinematography
|
1 |
Sinners (Autumn Durald Arkapaw) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Train Dreams (Adolpho Veloso) |
— |
|
3 |
Frankenstein (Dan Lausten) |
— |
|
4 |
One Battle After Another (Michael Baumann) |
— |
|
5 |
Marty Supreme (Darius Khondji) |
— |
Full Best Cinematography predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Marty Supreme → Predicted: Hamnet
Costume Design
|
1 |
Frankenstein (Kate Hawley) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Sinners (Ruth E. Carter) |
— |
|
3 |
Hamnet (Malgosia Turzanska) |
— |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (Miyako Bellizzi) |
— |
|
5 |
Avatar: Fire and Ash (Deborah L. Scott) |
— |
Full Best Costume Design predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Marty Supreme and Avatar: Fire and Ash → Predicted: Wicked: For Good and Hedda
Documentary Feature
|
1 |
The Perfect Neighbor (Netflix) |
— |
|
2 |
Mr. Nobody Against Putin (Bantam Films) |
▲ 1 |
|
3 |
The Alabama Solution (HBO Documentary Films) |
▼ 1 |
|
4 |
Come See Me in the Good Light (Apple TV) |
— |
|
5 |
Cutting through Rocks (Seeking U.S. Distribution) |
— |
Full Best Documentary Feature predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Come See Me in the Good Light and Cutting Through Rocks → Predicted: 2000 Meters to Andriivka and My Undesirable Friends: Part I – Last Air in Moscow
Documentary Short
|
1 |
Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud (HBO Documentary Films |
— |
|
2 |
All the Empty Rooms (Netflix) |
▲ 1 |
|
3 |
The Devil is Busy (HBO Documentary Films) |
▼ 1 |
|
4 |
Children No More: “Were and Are Gone” (Medalia Productions | Salty Features | Full Story Films) |
— |
|
5 |
Perfectly a Strangeness (Seeking U.S. Distribution) |
— |
Full Best Documentary Short predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud and Children No More: “Were and Are Gone” → Predicted: We Were the Scenery and Heartbeat
Film Editing
|
1 |
F1: The Movie (Stephen Mirrione) |
— |
|
2 |
One Battle After Another (Andy Jurgensen) |
▲ 1 |
|
3 |
Sinners (Michael P. Shawver) |
▼ 1 |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie) |
— |
|
5 |
Sentimental Value (Olivier Bugge Coutté) |
— |
Full Best Film Editing predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Sentimental Value → Predicted: Hamnet
Live Action Short
|
1 |
A Friend of Dorothy |
▲ 3 |
|
2 |
Two People Exchanging Saliva |
— |
|
3 |
The Singers |
▼ 2 |
|
4 |
Jane Austen’s Period Drama |
▼ 1 |
|
5 |
Butcher’s Stain |
— |
Full Best Live Action Short predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
2 / 5
─────
Correct: The Singers and Two People Exchanging Saliva
Makeup and Hairstyling
|
1 |
Frankenstein (Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
The Smashing Machine (Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein) |
— |
|
3 |
Sinners (Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry) |
— |
|
4 |
The Ugly Stepsister (Thomas Foldberg and Anne Cathrine Sauerberg) |
— |
|
5 |
Kokuho (Kyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino and Tadashi Nishimatsu) |
— |
Full Best Makeup and Hairstyling predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: The Ugly Stepsister and Kokuho → Predicted: Wicked: For Good, and Nuremberg
Original Score
|
1 |
Sinners (Ludwig Göransson) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
One Battle After Another (Jonny Greenwood) |
— |
|
3 |
Bugonia (Jerskin Fendrix) |
— |
|
4 |
Frankenstein (Alexandre Desplat) |
— |
|
5 |
Hamnet (Max Richer) |
— |
Full Best Original Score predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Jerskin Fendrix (Bugonia) → Predicted: Hans Zimmer (F1)
Original Song
|
1 |
Golden from KPop Demon Hunters |
— |
|
2 |
I Lied to You from Sinners |
— |
|
3 |
Dear Me from Diane Warren: Relentless |
— |
|
4 |
Train Dreams from Train Dreams |
— |
|
5 |
Sweet Dreams of Joy from Viva Verdi! |
— |
Full Best Original Song predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Sweet Dreams from Viva Verdi! → Predicted: The Girl in the Bubble from Wicked: For Good
Production Design
|
1 |
Frankenstein (Shane Vieau, Tamara Deverell) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Sinners (Production Design: Hannah Beachler; Set Decoration: Monique Champagne) |
— |
|
3 |
Hamnet (Production Design: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton) |
— |
|
4 |
One Battle After Another (Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino) |
— |
|
5 |
Marty Supreme (Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis) |
— |
Full Best Production Design predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Marty Supreme → Predicted: Wicked: For Good
Sound
|
1 |
F1: The Movie (Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary A. Rizzo and Juan Peralta) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
Sinners (Chris Welcker, Benjamin A. Burtt, Felipe Pacheco, Brandon Proctor and Steve Boeddeker) |
— |
|
3 |
Frankenstein (Greg Chapman, Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira, Christian Cooke and Brad Zoern) |
— |
|
4 |
Sirāt (Amanda Villavieja, Laia Casanovas and Yasmina Praderas) |
— |
|
5 |
One Battle After Another (Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino) |
— |
Full Best Sound predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
5 / 5
─────
Called It
Visual Effects
|
1 |
Avatar: Fire and Ash (Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett) |
🔒 |
|
2 |
The Lost Bus (Charlie Noble, David Zaretti, Russell Bowen and Brandon K. McLaughlin) |
— |
|
3 |
F1: The Movie (Ryan Tudhope, Nicolas Chevallier, Robert Harrington and Keith Dawson) |
— |
|
4 |
Jurassic World: Rebirth (David Vickery, Stephen Aplin, Charmaine Chan and Neil Corbould) |
— |
|
5 |
Sinners (Michael Ralla, Espen Nordahl, Guido Wolter and Donnie Dean) |
— |
Full Best Visual Effects predictions →
🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Jurassic World: Rebirth and Sinners → Predicted: Wicked: For Good and Frankenstein