2026 The Actor Awards (ACTOR) Predictions

Tracking the 2026 Actor Awards race with ranked predictions in every category.

32nd Actor Awards

*Formerly known as Screen Actors Guild

Nominations: January 7, 2026 • Ceremony: March 1, 2026

Season Stage: Winners Announced

🧮 Winner Prediction Scorecard
5 / 6 (83%)
🧮 Nomination Prediction Scorecard
20 / 30 (66%)

Updated on March 2, 2026

Cast | Lead Female Actor | Lead Male Actor | Lead Female Actor | Supporting Female Actor | Supporting Male Actor | Stunt Ensemble

🔒 Locked ⬆️ New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 RIP 🏆 Winner

Cast in a Motion Picture

🏆	Sinners (Warner Bros.)	—
2	One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)	—
3	Marty Supreme (A24)	—
4	Hamnet (Focus Features)	▲ 2
5	Frankenstein (Netflix)	▲ 4

6	Sentimental Value (NEON)	🪦
7	Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)	🪦
8	Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)	🪦
9	Jay Kelly (Netflix)	🪦
10	Bugonia (Focus Features)	🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Hamnet and Frankenstein → Predicted: Sentimental Value and Wicked: For Good

Female Actor in a Leading Role

🏆	Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)	🔒
2	Emma Stone (Bugonia)	—
3	Rose Bryne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You)	—
4	Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue)	—
5	Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another)	▲ 3

6	Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good)	🪦
7	Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value)	🪦
8	Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee)	🪦
9	Jennifer Lawrence (Die My Love)	🪦
10	Julia Roberts (After the Hunt)	🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) → Predicted: Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good)

Male Actor in a Leading Role

1	Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)	▲ 3
2	Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)	▼ 1
🏆	Michael B Jordan (Sinners)	▼ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)	▼ 1
5	Jessie Plemons (Bugonia)	▲ 4

6	Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine)	🪦
7	George Clooney (Jay Kelly)	🪦
8	Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)	🪦
9	Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)	🪦
10	Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere)	🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Jessie Plemons (Bugonia) → Predicted: Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine)

Female Actor in a Supporting Role

🏆	Amy Madigan (Weapons)	▲ 1
2	Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners)	▲ 2
3	Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)	—
4	Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)	▼ 3
5	Odessa A’zion (Marty Supreme)	—

6	Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)	🪦
7	Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine)	🪦
8	Glenn Close (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)	🪦
9	Gwenyth Paltrow (Marty Supreme)	🪦
10	Laura Dern (Jay Kelly)	🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners) and Odessa A’zion (Marty Supreme) → Predicted: Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) and Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine)

Male Actor in a Supporting Role

🏆	Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)	▲ 2
2	Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another)	▼ 1
3	Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)	▼ 1
4	Paul Mescal (Hamnet)	▲ 2
5	Miles Caton (Sinners)	▲ 3

6	Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)	🪦
7	Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly)	🪦
8	Delroy Lindo (Sinners)	🪦
9	Jonathan Bailey (Wicked: For Good)	🪦
10	Akira Emoto (Rental Family)	🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: Paul Mescal (Hamnet) and Miles Caton (Sinners) → Predicted: Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value) and Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly)

Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

🏆	Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (Paramount)	🔒
2	F1: The Movie (Apple Film \| Warner Bros.)	—
3	Sinners (Warner Bros.)	—
4	One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)	▲ 4
5	Frankenstein (Netflix)	⬆️

—

Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)
Ballerina (Lionsgate)
Superman (Warner Bros.)
Thunderbolts* (Walt Disney Studios)
Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century Studios)
The Running Man (Paramount Pictures)

🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
3 / 5
─────
Missed: One Battle After Another and Frankenstein → Predicted: Wicked: For Good and Ballerina