2026 Writers Guild of America (WGA) Predictions

Tracking the 2026 WGA race with ranked predictions in every category.
78th WGA Awards
Nominations: January 27, 2026 • Ceremony: March 8, 2026
Season Stage: Winner Predictions

Updated on Feb. 24, 2026 (Post-BAFTAs)

🧮 Nomination Prediction Scorecard
9 / 13 (69%)

Correct: Adapted Screenplay • Total Miss: Documentary

Adapted | Original | Documentary

🔒 Locked ⬆️ New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 RIP 🏆 Winner

WGA Ineligible Screenplays:

Ballad of a Small Player
The Chronology of Water
Don’t Let’s Go to the Dogs Tonight
The History of Sound
No Other Choice
Peter Hujar’s Day
Pillion

Adapted Screenplay

1

One Battle After Another – Paul Thomas Anderson
Inspired by the novel Vineland by Thomas Pynchon;

🔒

2

Hamnet – Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell
Based on the Novel Written by Maggie O’Farrell

—

3

Bugonia – Will Tracy
Based on the Film Save the Green Planet Written and Directed by Jang Joon Hwan

—

4

Frankenstein – Guillermo del Toro
Based on Frankenstein; or The Modern Prometheus by Mary Shelley

—

5

Train Dreams – Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
Based on the Novella by Denis Johnson

—

6

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery – Rian Johnson

🪦

7

Hedda – Nia DaCosta

🪦

8

Nuremberg – James Vanderbilt

🪦

9

The Life of Chuck – Mike Flanagan

🪦

10

Wicked: For Good – Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
5 / 5
─────
Called It

WGA Ineligible Screenplays:

Blue Moon
Dead Man’s Wire

Father, Mother, Sister, Brother
It Was Just an Accident

A Private Life
Rental Family

Rosemead
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sirāt
Sorry, Baby

Original Screenplay

1

Sinners – Ryan Coogler

🔒

2

Weapons – Zach Cregger

—

3

Marty Supreme – Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie

—

4

If I Had Legs I’d Kick You – Mary Bronstein

—

5

Black Bag – David Koepp

⬆️

—

Jay Kelly – Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach
A House of Dynamite – Noah Oppenheim
F1: The Movie – Ehren Kruger
Is This Thing On? – Mark Chappell, Will Arnett, Bradley Cooper
The Testament of Ann Lee – Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet
Materialists – Celine Song

🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
4 / 5
─────
Missed: Black Bag → Predicted: Jay Kelly

The WGA does not release an official list of ineligible documentary screenplays.

Documentary Screenplay

1

2,000 Meters to Andriivka – Mstyslav Chernov

▲ 5

2

Becoming Led Zeppelin – Bernard MacMahon & Allison McGourty

⬆️

3

White With Fear – Andrew Goldberg

⬆️

—

The Perfect Neighbor – Geeta Gandbhir
The Alabama Solution – Andrew Jarecki
Cover-Up – Laura Poitris
My Mom Jayne – Mariska Hargitay
Come See Me in the Good Light – Ryan White
Seeds – Brittany Shyne
Apocalypse in the Tropics – Petra Costa
It’s Never Over, Jeff Buckley – Amy Berg
Folktales – Heidi Ewing, Rachel Grady
BLACKNWS: Terms & Conditions – Kahlil Joseph

🪦

🧮 Prediction Scorecard
0 / 3
─────
Epic Fail

None are Oscar nominated. Only 2,000 Meters to Andriivka was shortlisted