2026 Writers Guild of America (WGA) Predictions

Tracking the 2026 WGA race with my ranked predictions across every category, updated as the season shifts.

78th WGA Awards
Nominations: January 27, 2026 • Ceremony: March 8, 2026

Season Stage: Nomination Predictions

Updated on Jan. 14, 2026



🔒 Locked 🆕 New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 RIP
Writers Guild of America (WGA) logo with trophy on transparent background.

Adapted Screenplay

1

One Battle After Another – Paul Thomas Anderson

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2

Hamnet – Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

3

Bugonia – Will Tracy

▲ 2

4

Frankenstein – Guillermo del Toro

▼ 1

5

Train Dreams – Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar

▲ 1

6

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery – Rian Johnson

▼ 2

7

Hedda – Nia DaCosta

▲ 2

8

Nuremberg – James Vanderbilt

▲ 2

9

The Life of Chuck – Mike Flanagan

▼ 1

10

Wicked: For Good – Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

▼ 3

Writers Guild of America (WGA) trophy with Transparent Background

Original Screenplay

1

Sinners – Ryan Coogler

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2

Weapons – Zach Cregger

▲2

3

Marty Supreme – Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie

▼ 1

4

If I Had Legs I’d Kick You – Mary Bronstein

▲ 2

5

Jay Kelly – Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

▼ 2

6

A House of Dynamite – Noah Oppenheim

▼ 1

7

F1: The Movie – Ehren Kruger

▲ 2

8

Is This Thing On? – Mark Chappell, Will Arnett, Bradley Cooper

9

The Testament of Ann Lee – Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

▼ 2

10

Materialists Celine Song

Documentary Screenplay

1

The Perfect Neighbor – Geeta Gandbhir

2

The Alabama Solution – Andrew Jarecki

▲ 1

3

Cover-Up – Laura Poitris

▲ 2

4

My Mom Jayne – Mariska Hargitay

5

Come See Me in the Good Light – Ryan White

▼ 3

6

Seeds – Brittany Shyne

7

Apocalypse in the Tropics – Petra Costa

8

It’s Never Over, Jeff Buckley – Amy Berg

▲ 1

9

Folktales – Heidi Ewing, Rachel Grady

▼ 1

10

BLACKNWS: Terms & Conditions – Kahlil Joseph