2026 Oscar Best Picture Predictions
Tracking the 2026 Oscar Best Picture race with my ranked predictions updated as the Award Season shifts.
Best Picture
*Updated 01.16.2025
|
In the Spotlight | ||
|
1 |
One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) |
👑 |
|
2 |
Sinners (Warner Bros.) |
— 🔒 |
|
3 |
Hamnet (Focus Features) |
— 🔒 |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (A24) |
▲ 1 🔒 |
|
5 |
Sentimental Value (NEON) |
▼ 1 🔒 |
|
6 |
Frankenstein (Netflix) |
▲ 2 🔒 |
|
7 |
Bugonia (Focus Features) |
▲ 6 |
|
8 |
Train Dreams (Netflix) |
▲ 2 |
|
9 |
The Secret Agent (NEON) |
— |
|
10 |
Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures) |
▼ 3 🔒 |
|
On the Fringe | ||
|
11 |
It Was Just an Accident (NEON) |
▼ 5 |
|
12 |
F1: The Movie (Warner Bros.) |
▲ 3 |
|
13 |
Weapons (Warner Bros.) |
▲ 5 |
|
14 |
No Other Choice (NEON) |
▼ 5 |
|
In the Mix | ||
|
15 |
Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century Studios) |
▼ 3 |
|
16 |
Blue Moon (Sony Pictures Classic) |
— |
|
17 |
Sorry, Baby (A24) |
▲ 6 |
|
18 |
Jay Kelly (Netflix) |
▼ 8 |
|
19 |
The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) |
— |
|
20 |
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24) |
— |
|
Long Shots | ||
|
21 |
Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) |
— |
|
22 |
The Smashing Machine (A24) |
— |
|
23 |
Die My Love (MUBI) |
— |
|
24 |
Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) |
— |
|
25 |
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century Studios) |
— |
|
26 |
Rental Family (Searchlight) |
— |
|
27 |
The Life of Chuck (NEON) |
— |
|
28 |
The Voice of Hind Rajab (Willow) |
— |
|
29 |
A House of Dynamite (Netflix) |
— |
|
30 |
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) |
— |
The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.
