2026 Oscar Best Lead Actor Predictions
Tracking my evolving predictions for Lead Actor throughout Awards Season.
Lead Actor
*Updated 01.16.2025
|
In the Spotlight |
||
|
1 |
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme) |
— 🔒 |
|
2 |
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) |
— 🔒 |
|
3 |
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) |
▲ 3 🔒 |
|
4 |
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) |
▼ 1 🔒 |
|
5 |
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) |
▼ 1 |
|
On the Fringe |
||
|
6 |
Jessie Plemons (Bugonia) |
▲ 2 |
|
7 |
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) |
▼ 2 |
|
In the Mix |
||
|
8 |
George Clooney (Jay Kelly) |
▼ 1 |
|
9 |
Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein) |
▲ 1 |
|
10 |
Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) |
▲ 1 |
|
Long Shots |
||
|
11 |
Lee Byung-hun (No Other Choice) |
▼ 2 |
|
12 |
Brendan Fraser (Rental Family) |
— |
|
13 |
Daniel Day Lewis (Anemone) |
— |
|
14 |
Colin Farrell (Ballad of a Small Player) |
— |
|
15 |
Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) |
— |
The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.
