2026 Oscar Best Director Predictions

Tracking my evolving predictions for Best Director throughout Awards Season.
👑 Winner Locked 🔒 Nomination Locked 🆕 New ▲ Rise ▼ Fall — No Change 🪦 Out of Contention (RIP)
Academy Awards Oscars statuette on transparent background

Best Director

*Updated 01.16.2025

In the Spotlight

1

One Battle After Another – Paul Thomas Anderson

👑

2

Sinners – Ryan Coogler

🔒

3

Hamnet – Chloé Zhao

🔒

4

Sentimental Value – Joachim Trier

▲ 1

5

Frankenstein – Guillermo del Toro

▲ 2

On the Fringe

6

Marty Supreme – Josh Safdie

7

The Secret Agent – Kleber Mendonça Filho

▲ 1

In the Mix

8

It Was Just an Accident – Jafar Panahi

▼ 4

9

Train Dreams – Clint Bentley

▲ 2

10

Bugonia – Yorgos Lanthimos

🆕

Long Shots

11

No Other Choice – Park Chan-wook

▼ 1

12

Sorry Baby – Eva Victor

🆕

13

The Testament of Ann Lee – Mona Fastvold

▼ 1

14

Weapons – Zach Cregger

15

Wicked: For Good – Jon M. Chu

▼ 5

Avatar: Fire and Ash – James Cameron
Jay Kelly – Noah Baumbach
A House of Dynamite – Kathryn Bigelow

🪦

Gold OSCARS logo with Oscar logo A

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Director contenders for the 2026 Oscars.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Director contenders for the 2026 Oscars.