2026 Oscar Best Supporting Actor Predictions

Tracking my evolving predictions for Supporting Actor throughout Awards Season.
Academy Awards Oscars statuette on transparent background

Supporting Actor

*Updated 01.16.2025

In the Spotlight

1

Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)

— 🔒

2

Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)

▲ 1 🔒

3

Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another)

▼ 1 🔒

4

Paul Mescal (Hamnet)

▲ 1

5

Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)

▼ 1

On the Fringe

6

Miles Caton (Sinners)

▲ 2

7

Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly)

▼ 1

In the Mix

8

Delroy Lindo (Jay Kelly)

▼ 1

9

William H. Macy (Train Dreams)

10

Josh O’Connor (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)

Long Shots

11

Jeremy Strong (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere)

12

Akira Emoto (Rental Family)

13

Mark Hamill (The Life of Chuck)

14

Andrew Garfield (After the Hunt)

15

Andrew Scott (Blue Moon)

Gold OSCARS logo with Oscar logo A

The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Supporting Actor contenders for the 2026 Oscars (Jan. 2026)

Leaderboard graphic showing the top 7 Best Supporting Actor contenders for the 2026 Oscars.