2026 Oscar Best Original Screenplay Predictions
Tracking my evolving predictions for Original Screenplay throughout Awards Season.
Original Screenplay
*Updated 01.16.2025
|
In the Spotlight | ||
|
1 |
Sinners (Ryan Coogler) |
— 👑 |
|
2 |
Sentimental Value (Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt) |
— 🔒 |
|
3 |
It Was Just an Accident (Jafar Panahi) |
— 🔒 |
|
4 |
Marty Supreme (Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie) |
— 🔒 |
|
5 |
Sorry, Baby (Eva Victor) |
▲ 2 |
|
On the Fringe | ||
|
6 |
Weapons (Zach Cregger) |
— |
|
7 |
The Secret Agent (Kleber Mendonça Filho) |
▲ 1 |
|
In the Mix | ||
|
8 |
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (Mary Bronstein) |
▲ 1 |
|
9 |
The Phoenician Scheme (Wes Anderson) |
— |
|
10 |
A House of Dynamite (Noah Oppenheim) |
— |
|
Long Shots | ||
|
11 |
Jay Kelly (Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach) |
▼ 4 |
|
12 |
Is This Thing On? (Mark Chappell, Will Arnett, Bradley Cooper) |
— |
|
13 |
After the Hunt (Nora Garrett) |
— |
|
14 |
Materialists (Celine Song) |
— |
|
15 |
Anemone (Daniel Day-Lewis, Ronan Day-Lewis) |
— |
The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.
