2026 Oscar Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions
Tracking my evolving predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay throughout Awards Season.
Adapted Screenplay
*Updated 01.16.2025
|
In the Spotlight | ||
|
1 |
One Battle After Another (Paul Thomas Anderson) |
— 👑 |
|
2 |
Hamnet (Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell) |
— 🔒 |
|
3 |
Train Dreams (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar) |
— 🔒 |
|
4 |
Frankenstein (Guillermo del Toro) |
— 🔒 |
|
5 |
No Other Choice (Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar) |
— |
|
On the Fringe | ||
|
6 |
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Rian Johnson) |
— |
|
7 |
Bugonia (Will Tracey) |
— |
|
In the Mix | ||
|
8 |
Wicked: For Good (Jon M. Chu) |
— |
|
9 |
The Smashing Machine (Benny Safdie) |
— |
|
10 |
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (Scott Cooper) |
— |
|
Long Shots | ||
|
11 |
Nuremberg (James Vanderbilt) |
— |
|
12 |
Life of Chuck (Mike Flanagan) |
— |
|
13 |
Hedda (Nia DaCosta) |
— |
|
14 |
Die My Love (Enda Walsh, Lynne Ramsay, Alice Birch) |
— |
|
15 |
Mickey 17 (Bong Joon Ho) |
— |
The table updates as the awards season shifts – my ADHD and OCD won’t let it sit still. The leaderboard below stays put; it’s the Top 7 I locked in at the start of the month.
