Golden Globes 2026: The Wins that Changed the Race
From Taylor’s breakout to Brazil’s historic night, the race looks different today.
January 13, 2026 | Lisa Hatzenbeller
The Golden Globes did not need long to disrupt awards season, and what a way to kick off Oscar voting. Speeches always matter, but this week they land directly into open ballots. Several contenders entered the evening looking like secure nominees and ended it looking like potential winners. Teyana Taylor, Wagner Moura, and the team behind The Secret Agent delivered the kind of moments voters hold onto when they sit down to choose their Oscar nominees. Last night proved that the right speech can be just as influential as the statuette.
I didn’t predict the night well, landing just 9 out of 15 categories (60%), but the Globes gave me what I love most: chaos.

The Shocks that Defined the Night
Teyana Taylor’s supporting actress win was one of the biggest surprises of the evening, but her speech is what turned it into a real campaign turning point. When she said, “to my brown sisters and little brown girls,” it hit with clarity and honesty. That is the type of moment that sticks, especially when ballots opened the same morning. The performance earned her the statuette. The speech may have expanded her Oscar lane.
Hamnet winning Best Picture, Drama was another genuine shock. Sinners was widely expected to take it. Instead, the international-leaning membership rallied behind Chloé Zhao’s film. Zhao’s reaction said everything. It was not polite surprise, but real disbelief. Their support had been visible with Paul Mescal’s supporting nomination, Zhao’s director nomination, and Jessie Buckley’s Best Actress, Drama win. This was genuine enthusiasm. Emotion won the category.
Paul Thomas Anderson delivered one of the biggest sweeps of the night. He won director, screenplay, and Best Picture, Musical or Comedy. None of the individual wins were shocking, but taking all three created a clear message. The Globes did not divide the category. They chose a leader and Anderson’s film is a full-season player.
Brazil claimed the night’s most meaningful momentum. Last year, Fernanda Torres became the first Brazilian actress to win a Golden Globe. This year, Wagner Moura added his own milestone as the first Brazilian actor to win. His speech deepened the impact. When he said, “The Secret Agent is a film about memories or the lack of memory, and generational trauma. I think if trauma can be passed down along generations, values can too. So this is to the ones that are sticking with their values in difficult moments,” he connected the win directly to the film’s core. Combined with the film’s victory in International Feature, the moment may have pushed The Secret Agent into the Best Picture conversation.
The Films that Stumbled
Sentimental Value entered the night with 8 nominations and walked away with only one win. Stellan Skarsgård needed that supporting statuette, but 1 for 8 is still a sharp drop from expectations. Add in the Critics’ Choice loss and the miss at The Actor Awards, and the season becomes harder to read. This is not the momentum an Oscar contender usually builds.
Frankenstein and Wicked: For Good both ended the night 0 for 5. Frankenstein still has strength in craft categories, but Wicked continues to be overlooked where it needs recognition most. Ariana Grande remains under-recognized after last year’s snub. The theory that she will be honored once the saga is complete grows weaker. The season did not pause for owed credit. It moved on.
Sinners remains the most frustrating profile of the night. Cinematic and Box Office Achievement still resembles a “good job, here is a popcorn statuette” situation, the same issue Wicked faced last year. The category has no identity, and it did not help the film. Sinners should have been a serious contender in screenplay. Ryan Coogler’s original script had the voice, structure, and ambition that traditionally earn recognition in this category. OBAA winning is not wrong, but the truth is straightforward. Sinners should have taken screenplay. It deserved the push it never got.
The Chaos that Made the Night
Some campaigns genuinely strengthened. Rose Byrne’s win for Supporting Actress, Musical or Comedy gave her the breakthrough moment her season needed. She has been quietly building recognition, but this win pushed her firmly into locked nomination territory.
Stellan Skarsgård’s path remains unpredictable. A Globe win, a Critics Choice loss, and a miss at The Actor Awards create a profile without clear direction. BAFTA will determine whether he stabilizes or slips. Supporting categories remain the most volatile part of the season.
In International Feature, the trajectory now favors The Secret Agent even more strongly. Its visibility and narrative momentum are exactly what this branch responds to. That applies pressure to It Was Just an Accident and Jafar Panahi’s campaign, which may now have to settle for an International Feature nomination instead of something bigger.
K-Pop Demon Hunters also strengthened its standing. The film continues to appear in both animation and song, and “Golden” now looks like a frontrunner instead of a spoiler. The song is emotional, memorable, and tied to a passionate fan base. These are exactly the qualities Original Song voters respond to.
The Expected Wins that Held
Not every moment of the night threw the season off balance. Some wins landed exactly where they were predicted to land, reinforcing the narratives already taking shape. Timothée Chalamet finally secured a Golden Globe in musical or comedy for his role in Marty Supreme after four prior nominations, a result that solidifies his steady climb to winning the Oscar. Jessie Buckley’s win in drama played out the way we have projected all season, continuing her clear front-runner path without interruption.
Score also stayed on its expected trajectory. The only surprising element was that CBS didn’t even air it. Ludwig Göransson’s victory for Sinners deepened what already looks like a season-long sweep, and the Globes did nothing to challenge that momentum. These expected beats didn’t grab headlines, but they helped anchor a night full of unpredictable swings.
Moments that Everyone Felt

Julia Roberts brought warmth and ease to a ceremony full of sharp turns. She congratulated every winner who approached her and hugged many of them, grounding the room in a way only she can. Her encouragement to Eva Victor and her shout-out to Sorry, Baby became one of the standout moments of the night. These beats do not decide awards, but they shape which films people talk about the next morning.
Nikki Glaser added a quieter but equally thoughtful tribute. Her Spinal Tap hat honored the late great Rob Reiner, and her closing line, “This one went to 11,” was a perfectly placed nod to a filmmaker whose influence still shapes the industry. It was a small gesture with real heart, the kind of moment that reminds viewers why film history continues to matter long after the credits roll.
Final Thoughts
The Globes did what they do best. They rewarded some clear frontrunners, yanked others off their path, and handed the mic to new players right when voters are paying close attention. Supporting races are now officially the messiest part of the season. International stories are louder. Some titles we thought were safe no longer feel that way. If this was the opening act for voting week, the rest of the season is not calming down any time soon.
View the full Golden Globe winners and nominations here. Track the rest of Awards Season in our Awards Season Tracker.
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